Scenario planning
that stays alive.

Lumorio turns scenario planning from a workshop activity into a continuous strategic capability. AI agents track your scenarios, flag what moves, and surface the questions your strategy team needs to focus on next. So your strategy is ready for whichever scenario unfolds.

What powers Europe in 2035? Sensing active
CENTRALISED GRID ↑ ↓ DISTRIBUTED ENERGY MODEST DEMAND GROWTH AI-DRIVEN DEMAND SURGE 01 02 03 04 Steady Grid ↘ Losing support Baseload Rush ↗ Strong support Prosumer Commons – Some support Patchwork Power ↗ Gaining support
247 signals this week
The problem

Real insight with a three-month half-life.

Organisations invest heavily in scenario work: executive time, days of facilitation, a polished report. A few months later the report sits unopened. The thinking was sound, but nobody kept it up to date.

“We spent weeks on scenarios last year. I couldn’t tell you right now which one we’re tracking towards.”
Strategy Director, global financial services firm
01
Surprise
Something unexpected upends the strategy, and leadership asks for better foresight.
02
Commission
A consultancy is hired. Six figures, three months.
03
Insight
The scenarios are good, the offsite goes well and the team feels prepared.
04
Evaporation
The consultants leave, the report ages and no one is watching the trends any more.
and the cycle repeats
How it works

Four layers. One living system.

01

Frame your scenarios

Decide what question you want to explore, let Lumorio identify trends and uncertainties, and select the axes that span the four scenarios.

02

Monitor what moves

AI agents tag every relevant signal to the scenarios, key trends and uncertainties it affects, and update their support as the evidence changes.

03

Challenge assumptions

Lumorio flags blind spots that none of your scenarios cover, and strategic tensions where signals pull in opposite directions.

04

Stress-test your strategy

Test your strategies and portfolio against each scenario, and come back to see what has changed since you last took a position.

Positioning

Where Lumorio fits.

Lumorio works alongside the tools you already have, and closes the gap between scenario planning and strategy: continuous sensing of the world around you, and stress tests of your strategy against every scenario.

vs.

Horizon-scanning tools

Signals without a strategy

Good at watching the world, but the signals rarely connect to your strategy.

Makes sense of trends and uncertainties from your perspective.

vs.

Strategy execution tools

Tracks delivery, not assumptions

They show whether you did what you planned, not whether the plan still makes sense.

Lumorio checks whether the assumptions behind your goals still hold.

vs.

Foresight consultancies

Excellent, then gone

Strong scenarios, delivered at an offsite. Then the engagement ends.

Lumorio’s scenarios keep working after the consultants have left.

vs.

Risk management

Known risks only

Tracks risks within a fixed set of assumptions.

Lumorio shows when the evidence starts moving away from the assumptions behind your scenarios.

The principle

Automate the sensing. Not the sensemaking.

AI is faster at scanning, sorting and spotting change. People are better at judging what it means. Lumorio does the first, suggests what it might mean, and leaves the decisions to your experts.

The methodology

Built on more than fifty years of scenario practice.

Lumorio doesn’t reinvent scenario planning. It keeps it relevant as the world moves and connects it to your strategies.

01

A method with a track record

Scenario planning has shaped strategy at Shell and in IPCC climate assessments for decades. Lumorio builds on that method rather than replacing it.

02

Designed with practitioners

Built with foresight specialists and strategy teams, so the workflow follows how the work is actually done.

03

Transparent by default

Every AI assessment shows what it is based on, and your team can override it. Nothing disappears into a black box.

The scenario matrix in Lumorio: four illustrated scenarios, each with its level of support
The scenario matrix in Lumorio
Get started

Spot the shifts that matter. Act before they hit.

Tell us a bit about you and we’ll be in touch to book a demo. Plans start from €1000/month. Prefer LinkedIn? Reach out there →